For those unaware, Fangraphs is perhaps the most reputable baseball

Baseball analytics site Fangraphs has released its projections for the 2019 season http://www.astrosfanproshop.com/authentic-justin-verlander-jersey , which include World Series, pennant, division and playoff odds.If we compare them to implied probabilities based on actual Vegas odds, we can see where the value lies. After a long wait, Fangraphs released its 2019 MLB playoff odds on Friday. analytics website on the internet.Using this data, we can find some betting value using projections and implied probability based on actual betting odds.2019 MLB Cheat Sheet: Betting Previews for All 30 Teams, Futures, Props, Picks and AnalysisRead now聽2019 MLB World Series OddsAs a whole, the Fangraphs folks like the American League powerhouses more than the National League. Their favorite to win the whole thing is the Astros, who are +600 at the Westgate. They’d be approximately +440 at the fictional Fangraphs Sportsbook.The Indians also have a lot of value, and should be closer to +700 based on the projections. The Indians have perhaps the easiest path to a division title in all of baseball. Numerous NL contenders will have to fight just to make the playoffs, which is why their chances are generally lower. Meanwhile, the Indians聽should cruise into the ALDS.If you’re looking for a longshot, you’ve come to the wrong place. Once you get past the group of teams at +1200, most of the projections aren’t close to what the odds suggest.2019 MLB Pennant OddsIn the American League, the Indians once again have a lot of value. The Red Sox and Yankees are in tough spots since at least one of them will have to play in the Wild Card game if they want to win the pennant. As I said before Hector Rondon Jersey , the Indians shouldn’t need to, nor should the Astros, who are also a fair bet at +275.The Dodgers are oozing with value in the National League, as they’re in a similar boat as the Indians. While potentially seven or eight teams will be fighting for playoff spots in the NL East and Central, the Dodgers should be much better than the competition out West. This playoff security provides some definite value in a bet like this.At +600, the Nats are also a fine choice. As you’ll see in a minute, Fangraphs really believes they are undervalued in their division. Despite the value on these pennant odds, you may have noticed that their World Series odds at 12-1 do not have value.However, keep in mind that these odds vary around the market. If you can get the Nationals at 14-1 or higher, you’re getting a solid price.2019 MLB Division OddsThough the Red Sox won the World Series last year, it’s the Yankees who are heavily favored in the eyes of Fangraphs this year. Fair division odds would be -180 for New York and +188 for the Sox.In the Central, the Indians are apparently still a bargain despite their lofty -400 price tag. I was happy when I was able to bet on the Twins at +400.2019 MLB Prop Bets: 10 Home Run Over/Under PicksRead nowThe NL East could be the craziest division in the league, and clearly Fangraphs believes the books have overreacted to the Bryce Harper signing and other moves the Phillies have made. At +225, the Nationals to win the NL East may be Fangraphs’ favorite bet of them all, as they’d price them at -127.The Central will also be tight, but Fangraphs thinks the Cubs are a clear rung above the Cardinals, who are a clear rung above the Brewers. For what it’s worth, they also didn’t like the Brewers last year and we all know how that played out.2019 MLB Playoff Make/Miss OddsAs you may have expected http://www.astrosfanproshop.com/authentic-justin-verlander-jersey , the Nationals and Cubs are once again showing a ton of value to make the playoffs. A lot of the elite teams are too, but I don’t think anyone wants to lay -800 on the Yankees for six months.Of the American League fringe contenders (A’s, Twins, Angels and Rays), Fangraphs likes the Twins the most and the Angels the least.American League MVP Value Picks: Pair of High-Profile Shortstops Offering ValueRead nowPlenty of teams are offering value to miss the playoffs, with the Cardinals, Brewers and Rockies leading the charge.To summarize, if I was Mr. Fangraphs (I’m not) and I was going to place some bets, here’s what I’d choose from (ignoring the super-heavy juiced options):2019 MLB Value BetsWorld Series: Astros +600 (18.6% projection, +438 fair odds)World Series: Indians +1000 (12.7% projection, +687 fair odds)AL Pennant: Indians +500 (20.7% projection, +383 fair odds)NL Pennant: Dodgers +350 (30.3% projection, +230 fair odds)NL Pennant: Nationals +600 (18.7% projection, +435 fair odds)AL East: Yankees -140 (64.3% projection, -180 fair odds)AL Central: Indians -400 (88.4% projection, -762 fair odds)NL East: Nationals +225 (55.9% projection, -127 fair odds)NL Central: Cubs +160 (48.8% projection, +105 fair odds)Make playoffs: Cubs -110 (65.5% projection Jimmy Wynn Jersey , -190 fair odds)Make playoffs: Nationals +110 (80.2% projection, -405 fair odds)Miss playoffs: Rockies -260 (82.5% projection, -471 fair odds)Miss playoffs: Brewers -180 (74.9% projection, -298 fair odds)Miss playoffs: Cardinals -110 (65.6% projection, -191 fair odds) PITTSBURGH (AP) Jameson Taillon spent the hours before the trade deadline doing some detective work. The Pittsburgh Pirates pitcher scoured Twitter for updates, asked team trainers if they were scanning medical records and touched base with acquaintances of potential targets for a brief rundown on who might be joining the hottest team in the majors.”I had fun with it,” Taillon said. ”My heart was racing, I think.”So are the Pirates.Hours after his team picked up Texas closer Keone Kela and Tampa Bay starting pitcher Chris Archer in an effort to give Pittsburgh’s surprising postseason push a jolt, Taillon pitched effectively into the seventh inning and the Pirates held on late for a 5-4 victory over the Chicago Cubs on Tuesday night.”We’re really excited for the additions,” Taillon said. ”I think we still kind of don’t have anything to lose so we’re going to keep playing free. Going to hopefully play complete games like we’ve been doing and see what we can make happen.”Gregory Polanco hit his team-leading 19th home run, a solo shot in the eighth that gave the Pirates a two-run cushion. They needed it after closer Felipe Vazquez gave up a single to pinch-hitter David Bote leading off the top of the ninth and Addison Russell followed with a shot to the gap in right-center that scored Bote.Russell sped to third on the play and was initially ruled safe , but the call was overturned upon review. Vazquez retired the next two batters to pick up his 24th save in 28 opportunities.”I’d like to see the replay on that last play, because I didn’t see it,” Cubs manager Joe Maddon said. ”I went up and looked at it. The call on the field has integrity and I’d really need to see why that was changed.”David Freese added a pair of RBI doubles for the Pirates, including a drive to the gap in right-center in the fifth that scored Polanco and put Pittsburgh ahead to stay as the resurgent Pirates won for the 16th time in 20 games.”We’ve been fighting the last month,” Polanco said. ”We know we want to play in October and to bring in pitchers (like Kela and Archer) is good for us and you know, that’s a good plan. You’ve got to keep fighting, keep winning.”Taillon (8-8) allowed three runs on seven hits in 6 2/3 innings of work http://www.astrosfanproshop.com/authentic-justin-verlander-jersey , his lone mistake an off-speed pitch to Javy Baez in the fourth that Baez turned into a three-run homer that tied the game.Baez finished 3 for 4, including his shot to the rotunda behind the left-field seats that boosted his season home run total to 22, but the Cubs hit into two double plays and left seven runners on base to lose for the third time in four games.Jon Lester (12-4) hadn’t lost on the road since falling to Cleveland on April 25. He needed 101 pitches to labor through five innings, giving up four runs on seven hits with three walks and three strikeouts. Lester is 2-1 with a 4.69 ERA in four starts against the Pirates this season.”It seems like every time I throw against them, I’m not getting ahead,” he said. ”Kind of a grinder. Hopefully, I get another shot. I feel like I haven’t pitched even close to anything good against these guys.”The Pirates were reeling three weeks ago but have moved into the playoff chase by posting the best record in the majors since July 8. General manager Neal Huntington splurged at the deadline, bringing in Archer and Kela while parting with young prospects in outfielder Austin Meadows and pitchers Tyler Glasnow and Taylor Hearn.Huntington called the decision a difficult one but felt it was worth it with both Archer and Kela under team control through at least 2020. Either way, the Pirates enter August in the thick of a crowded NL playoff chase. Consider the Cubs believers in Pittsburgh’s chances after their NL Central rival drew within six games of first place.”I think this team is definitely not out of it,” Lester said. ”I think we’ve seen in the past where they do get maybe a little bit on the streaky side. Hopefully, you kind of catch them when they’re not streaking in a positive way. But yeah, their offense gets rolling. They’ve got a good group over there.”TRAINER’S ROOMCubs: RHP Yu Darvish (right triceps) reported no pain following a bullpen session on Tuesday. Darvish, who hasn’t pitched since May 20, called it a ”starting point” and remains out indefinitely. The four-time All Star also brushed off comments made by former MLB star-turned-ESPN analyst Alex Rodriguez, who said during a broadcast on Sunday night that Darvish’s slow rehab was a distraction in the Chicago clubhouse. Darvish said ”it doesn’t matter” what Rodriguez thinks of him.UP NEXTCubs: Cole Hamels will make his first start for the Cubs on Wednesday when the teams wrap up their two-game set. Chicago acquired Hamels from Texas last week. The four-time All-Star went 5-9 with a 4.72 ERA for the Rangers this season.Pirates: Nick Kingham (5-5, 4.80 ERA) will try to bounce back after giving up six runs in three-plus innings in a loss to the New York Mets last Thursday.—